tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post1589496686703094708..comments2024-03-28T16:45:51.051+00:00Comments on The IPKat: Would you believe? A view of what innovation will look like in 2025 Verónica Rodríguez Arguijohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05763207846940036921noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-23064171412099167432014-11-14T16:46:37.309+00:002014-11-14T16:46:37.309+00:00Nell, Thanks for the Beautiful Article!
I agree w...Nell, Thanks for the Beautiful Article!<br /><br />I agree with you that the article about 2025 predictions is quite pretentious. Why? Simply because I believe, Innovation is a manifestation of the Darwinian evolution process.<br />As such, Innovation results from changes in the environment; and the environment changes because of Innovation. The innovation process is a dynamic process.<br />I explain this, and more, in this recent article <a href="http://www.thehungerbusiness.nl/2014/11/the-ultimate-innovation-process.html" rel="nofollow">The Ultimate Innovation Process</a>.Marcel KWEDIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12229510302542792584noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-56832770365305442232014-09-25T10:34:01.464+01:002014-09-25T10:34:01.464+01:00Ron, an electric aircraft would not necessarily re...Ron, an electric aircraft would not necessarily require batteries. A suitable fuel cell could potentially be used to supply the necessary electrons. How about a hydrogen filled airship with the hydrogen being used to power the motors - Hindenburg mark II?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-24882408813990330622014-09-24T23:00:14.632+01:002014-09-24T23:00:14.632+01:00The first sentence of my post seems to have got co...The first sentence of my post seems to have got corrupted: unfortunately the preview function does not work for me, as the text wanders off to infinity and only the start can be seen. It should have said " ... our searcher always spoke highly of the effectiveness of the Derwent manual codes. "Ronnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-78693120299842636512014-09-24T16:31:10.448+01:002014-09-24T16:31:10.448+01:00In response to Michael,I suspect 'Solar' i...In response to Michael,I suspect 'Solar' in item 2 refers to photovoltaics or solar thermal power plants.<br /><br />I would argue that items 4 and 9 will depend at least as much on economic factors and social acceptance, as to any particular innovations in the field.<br /><br />Item 10 seems highly unlikely (to put it politely) - at least in the 'beam me up, Scotty' sense.<br /><br />Item 6 is pure navel-gazing and product promotion. I shall spare you from my standard internet-of-things rant.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-34875089903544135922014-09-24T16:18:00.144+01:002014-09-24T16:18:00.144+01:00I haven't done any searches in the Derwent dat...I haven't done any searches in the Derwent databases for years, but our searcher always spoke highly of their effectiveness. They only used to be avaialable to subscribers to the hard-copy Derwent abstracts in the 1990's. More reliable than simply relying on IPC terms, particularly for US patents. USPTO-applied IPC terms were a bit of a lottery as they used to be applied by clerks working from a concordance with the US classification scheme: fine if the US scheme matched to IPC, but "interesting" if it did not. <br /><br />I for one am sceptical about electric aircaft. The energy density of storage batteries is orders of magnitude lower than hydrocarbon fuel, and when you fill up your car, the energy transferred is comparable to the output of a medium-sized electricity power station. <br /><br />In the 1950's many predicted atomic-powered everything, but that is clearly not an option these days. Ronnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-29536621610847878452014-09-24T10:25:21.033+01:002014-09-24T10:25:21.033+01:00I once saw a tree diagram based on the claims of p...I once saw a tree diagram based on the claims of patent cases. It showed how the technology developed and how the patent cases were 'related' in a technology field. I figured if one could extend the tree into the future (based on how claims developed from the first filing) one could derive the claims of future filings!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-13546853833004435862014-09-24T09:54:34.963+01:002014-09-24T09:54:34.963+01:00Thanks very much for this post. I am not sure abo...Thanks very much for this post. I am not sure about the reliability of the methodology used in this study, but I do find it interesting as it at least attempts to impose a degree of objectivity. It is probably too much work to contemplate, but I should be even more interested if the authors applied exactly the same methods to scientific publications and published patent documents etc. dating from 10 years back to see if they would have successfully predicted the 10 top innovations with which we now find ourselves (whatever they may be – and I would suggest that one of them is the rise and rise of “social media”).Dr. Martin Lipscombenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5574479.post-27271270428412489992014-09-24T08:20:44.415+01:002014-09-24T08:20:44.415+01:00Neil,
In 2025 Solar is the largest source of ener...Neil,<br /><br />In 2025 Solar is the largest source of energy of this planet?<br /><br />That's a weird statement. Firstly, the sun is not on Earth. The Earth circumnavigates the Sun (or from an Earth-centric perspective, the Sun goes around the Earth. As wind, coal, natural-gas, biofuels, hydraulic power and crude oil are all solar driven, the Sun is already the power generator of the Earth.<br />Michael Factorhttp://www.blog.ipfactor.co.ilnoreply@blogger.com